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The dinos are back—and so is Scarlett Johansson—but early domestic box office projections for Jurassic World Rebirth might have Universal sweating a little. The latest installment in the billion-dollar franchise is currently tracking for a $115 million to $135 million five-day debut over the Fourth of July holiday weekend. While that might sound like a T. Rex-sized haul for most films, it’s shaping up to be the lowest opening of the entire Jurassic saga, especially when adjusted for inflation.
Scarlett Johansson’s Dino Blockbuster Eyes Global Success Despite Modest U.S. Forecast
Comparisons to previous entries only heighten the concern. For instance, 2022’s Jurassic World: Dominion stomped into theaters with a $145 million three-day opening. Meanwhile, even Jurassic Park III, which debuted way back in 2001, earned $85 million during its five-day launch—equivalent to roughly $154 million in today’s dollars. If these early numbers hold, Rebirth may mark the franchise’s softest stateside debut to date.
But don’t count this dino epic out just yet.
One thing projections don’t always account for is the global might of the Jurassic brand. These movies have long been international juggernauts, and Rebirth could still rake in massive box office receipts overseas. With Scarlett Johansson leading the cast and a fresh narrative direction breathing new life into the franchise, there’s still a very real chance the film could claw its way to the coveted $1 billion global mark.
Scarlett Johansson at the Jurassic World Rebirth London premiere
“Scarlett reminded us that bombshell glamour isn’t gone. She’s just been waiting for the right moment to bring it back”
Universal is no doubt banking on Johansson’s A-list star power, a nostalgic pull for longtime fans, and a global audience still hungry for high-stakes, dino-packed spectacle. Even if the U.S. returns underwhelm compared to previous entries, Jurassic World Rebirth could very well prove that this franchise still has legs—very big, very expensive CGI legs.
So while the domestic numbers may not initially roar, the world might just be ready to run with the dinosaurs one more time.
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